Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.011964 0.013885 0.016005 0.018517 0.021411 0.024639 0.028513
2026-02-01 0.008854 0.011269 0.014177 0.017933 0.022650 0.028375 0.035847
2026-02-08 0.006907 0.009522 0.012918 0.017640 0.024027 0.032354 0.044028
2026-02-15 0.005462 0.008082 0.011721 0.017122 0.024916 0.035737 0.051881
2026-02-22 0.004733 0.007459 0.011473 0.017785 0.027429 0.041574 0.063858
2026-03-01 0.003998 0.006673 0.010830 0.017720 0.028808 0.045899 0.074180
2026-03-08 0.003298 0.005807 0.009906 0.017037 0.029075 0.048499 0.082124
2026-03-15 0.002835 0.005245 0.009367 0.016866 0.030090 0.052341 0.092476
2026-03-22 0.002625 0.005079 0.009459 0.017755 0.032981 0.059590 0.109407
2026-03-29 0.002384 0.004815 0.009330 0.018219 0.035159 0.065842 0.125338
2026-04-05 0.002058 0.004335 0.008729 0.017712 0.035466 0.068754 0.135527
2026-04-12 0.001814 0.003976 0.008305 0.017472 0.036227 0.072557 0.147790
2026-04-19 0.001574 0.003591 0.007783 0.016983 0.036468 0.075467 0.158851
2026-04-26 0.001383 0.003280 0.007366 0.016647 0.036974 0.078957 0.171517
2026-05-03 0.001232 0.003033 0.007050 0.016480 0.037802 0.083188 0.186222
2026-05-10 0.001082 0.002763 0.006642 0.016048 0.037990 0.086088 0.198439
2026-05-17 0.001023 0.002705 0.006705 0.016699 0.040694 0.094724 0.224274
2026-05-24 0.000928 0.002537 0.006487 0.016654 0.041776 0.099884 0.242890
2026-05-31 0.000811 0.002294 0.006052 0.016019 0.041362 0.101578 0.253680
2026-06-07 0.000733 0.002142 0.005822 0.015861 0.042096 0.106032 0.271551
2026-06-14 0.000710 0.002138 0.005970 0.016701 0.045449 0.117153 0.306992
2026-06-21 0.000670 0.002080 0.005967 0.017140 0.047823 0.126141 0.338165
2026-06-28 0.000597 0.001913 0.005644 0.016662 0.047705 0.128852 0.353641